The meeting notes state that training will happen in two phases—one for managers and one for staff. Which of the following three-point time estimates would you choose for fully training the team (including planning, training the managers, and training the staff at each location)?1 pointOptimistic: 2 days; Most Likely: 1 day; Pessimistic: 4 daysOptimistic: 15 days; Most Likely: 30 days; Pessimistic: 45 daysOptimistic: 20 days; Most Likely: 14 days; Pessimistic: 10 daysOptimistic: 10 days; Most Likely: 14 days; Pessimistic: 21 days
Question
The meeting notes state that training will happen in two phases—one for managers and one for staff. Which of the following three-point time estimates would you choose for fully training the team (including planning, training the managers, and training the staff at each location)?1 pointOptimistic: 2 days; Most Likely: 1 day; Pessimistic: 4 daysOptimistic: 15 days; Most Likely: 30 days; Pessimistic: 45 daysOptimistic: 20 days; Most Likely: 14 days; Pessimistic: 10 daysOptimistic: 10 days; Most Likely: 14 days; Pessimistic: 21 days
Solution
The three-point time estimate you choose for fully training the team would depend on the complexity of the training, the number of managers and staff to be trained, and the number of locations. However, based on the information provided, the most reasonable estimate seems to be:
Optimistic: 10 days; Most Likely: 14 days; Pessimistic: 21 days
This estimate seems to allow a reasonable amount of time for planning, training the managers, and training the staff at each location. The other estimates either seem too short (2 days, 1 day, 4 days) or too long (15 days, 30 days, 45 days) for this process. The estimate of 20 days, 14 days, 10 days is not logical as the optimistic estimate is higher than the most likely estimate, which is in turn higher than the pessimistic estimate.
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