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If a person watches a certain TV daily evening news program on one evening, then theprobability that the person watches that program the next evening is 0.7. However, if the persondoes not watch the program one evening, then the probability that the person watches theprogram the next evening is 0.2.a) If the person watches the program on Monday, what is the probability that the personwatches the program on Wednesday?b) If 20% of the population watches the program on Thursday, what percentage can beexpected to watch on Friday?c) What is the steady-state probability of watching?Note: leave your answer as a percentage, rounded to 2 decimal places

Question

If a person watches a certain TV daily evening news program on one evening, then theprobability that the person watches that program the next evening is 0.7. However, if the persondoes not watch the program one evening, then the probability that the person watches theprogram the next evening is 0.2.a) If the person watches the program on Monday, what is the probability that the personwatches the program on Wednesday?b) If 20% of the population watches the program on Thursday, what percentage can beexpected to watch on Friday?c) What is the steady-state probability of watching?Note: leave your answer as a percentage, rounded to 2 decimal places

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Solution

a) The probability that the person watches the program on Wednesday given that they watched it on Monday can be calculated by multiplying the probability that they watch it on Tuesday (given that they watched it on Monday) by the probability that they watch it on Wednesday (given that they watched it on Tuesday). Since both of these probabilities are 0.7 (according to the problem), the calculation is 0.7 * 0.7 = 0.49. So, there is a 49% chance that the person will watch the program on Wednesday if they watched it on Monday.

b) If 20% of the population watches the program on Thursday, then the probability that they watch it on Friday is 0.2 (according to the problem). So, 20% * 0.2 = 4%. Therefore, we can expect 4% of the population to watch the program on Friday.

c) The steady-state probability of watching can be found by setting up and solving the following equation: P = 0.7P + 0.2(1-P), where P is the steady-state probability. Solving for P gives P = 0.2 / (1 - 0.7) = 0.2 / 0.3 = 2/3 = 0.6667. So, the steady-state probability of watching is approximately 66.67%.

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