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The pure expectations theory: A. suggests that more liquid securities will trade at higher yields than less liquid securities B. states that an inverse yield curve reflects the market’s expectation that rates will fall in the future C. explains that yield curves will be normal to compensate investors for price risk D. implies that investors prefer securities with longer terms because there are less transaction costs

Question

The pure expectations theory: A. suggests that more liquid securities will trade at higher yields than less liquid securities B. states that an inverse yield curve reflects the market’s expectation that rates will fall in the future C. explains that yield curves will be normal to compensate investors for price risk D. implies that investors prefer securities with longer terms because there are less transaction costs

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Solution

The Pure Expectations Theory, also known as the Unbiased Expectations Theory, primarily states that the future short-term interest rates can be estimated based on the current long-term interest rates. This theory assumes that the maturity does not impact the investment decision of an investor.

Now, let's analyze each of the options:

A. This option is incorrect. The Pure Expectations Theory does not suggest that more liquid securities will trade at higher yields than less liquid securities. This is more related to the Liquidity Preference Theory, which states that investors demand a premium for securities with longer maturities, which are considered less liquid.

B. This option is correct. According to the Pure Expectations Theory, an inverse yield curve (where long-term yields are lower than short-term yields) indicates that the market expects interest rates to decrease in the future.

C. This option is incorrect. The Pure Expectations Theory does not explain that yield curves will be normal to compensate investors for price risk. This is more related to the Market Segmentation Theory, which suggests that the shape of the yield curve is determined by supply and demand for securities within different maturity sectors.

D. This option is incorrect. The Pure Expectations Theory does not imply that investors prefer securities with longer terms because there are less transaction costs. This theory assumes that investors are indifferent to the term of the security, as they base their expectations solely on future interest rates.

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Which of the following items will likely not affect the shape of the yield curve?Group of answer choicesMore efficient transaction systems of financial assetsThe market experiencing increasing concerns about the financial health of the economyAn sudden increase in demand for long-term bondsThe market forming a more optimistic outlook of the future of the economy

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When a yield curve has a negative slopeGroup of answer choicesthe money market is expecting default by issuers of bank bills.the inflation rate is expected to rise.short-term yields are higher than long-term yields.long-term yields are higher than short-term yields.

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