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The National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) is administered annually to 4th, 8th, and 12th graders in the United States. On the math assessment, a score above 275 is considered an indication that a student has the skills to balance a checkbook. In a random sample of 500 young men between the ages of 18 and 20, the mean NAEP math score is 272. Do we have evidence to support the claim that young men nationwide have a mean score below 275?

Question

The National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) is administered annually to 4th, 8th, and 12th graders in the United States. On the math assessment, a score above 275 is considered an indication that a student has the skills to balance a checkbook. In a random sample of 500 young men between the ages of 18 and 20, the mean NAEP math score is 272. Do we have evidence to support the claim that young men nationwide have a mean score below 275?

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Solution

To answer this question, we would typically conduct a one-sample t-test to compare the sample mean to the population mean. Here are the steps:

  1. State the Hypotheses: The null hypothesis would be that the population mean is 275 (H0: μ = 275). The alternative hypothesis would be that the population mean is less than 275 (Ha: μ < 275).

  2. Check Assumptions: We assume that the sample is representative of the population and that the scores are normally distributed.

  3. Calculate the Test Statistic: The test statistic for a one-sample t-test is calculated as (sample mean - population mean) / (standard deviation / sqrt(sample size)). In this case, we don't have the standard deviation, so we can't calculate the test statistic.

  4. Determine the P-value: The P-value is the probability of observing a test statistic as extreme as the one calculated (or more extreme) under the null hypothesis. Without the test statistic, we can't calculate the P-value.

  5. Draw a Conclusion: Based on the P-value, we would decide whether to reject the null hypothesis. If the P-value is less than our significance level (typically 0.05), we would reject the null hypothesis and conclude that we have evidence to support the claim that the mean score is less than 275. Without the P-value, we can't draw a conclusion.

In conclusion, without the standard deviation of the sample, we can't conduct a t-test and therefore can't determine whether we have evidence to support the claim that young men nationwide have a mean score below 275.

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