An unknown distribution has a mean of 90 and a standard deviation of 10. Samples of size n = 100 are drawn randomly from the population. Find the probability that the sample mean is between 83 and 94. (3 marks)
Question
An unknown distribution has a mean of 90 and a standard deviation of 10. Samples of size n = 100 are drawn randomly from the population. Find the probability that the sample mean is between 83 and 94. (3 marks)
Solution
To solve this problem, we will use the Central Limit Theorem which states that if you have a population with mean μ and standard deviation σ and take sufficiently large random samples from the population with replacement, then the distribution of the sample means will be approximately normally distributed.
Step 1: Identify the parameters. The population mean (μ) is 90, the population standard deviation (σ) is 10, and the sample size (n) is 100.
Step 2: Calculate the standard deviation of the sample mean. The standard deviation of the sample mean (σx̄) can be found using the formula σ/√n. Substituting our values in, we get 10/√100 = 1.
Step 3: Convert the sample mean range to a z-score. The z-score is calculated by (X - μ) / σx̄. For X = 83, the z-score is (83 - 90) / 1 = -7. For X = 94, the z-score is (94 - 90) / 1 = 4.
Step 4: Find the probability that the z-score is between -7 and 4. This is done by looking up these values in the z-table, which gives the probability that a value chosen at random from the distribution is less than or equal to z. The value for z = 4 is 0.99997 and for z = -7 is practically 0. Therefore, the probability that the sample mean is between 83 and 94 is 0.99997 - 0 = 0.99997 or 99.997%.
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