In the probit model, a predicted probability value of 0.95 means that: a. the most likely value the dependent variable will take on is 1. b. given the values for the explanatory variables, there is a 95 percent probability that the dependent variable will equal one. c. given the values for the explanatory variables, there is a 5 percent probability that the dependent variable will equal zero. d. given the values for the explanatory variables, it is unlikely that the dependent variable will equal zero. e. All of the above. f. None of the above.
Question
In the probit model, a predicted probability value of 0.95 means that: a. the most likely value the dependent variable will take on is 1. b. given the values for the explanatory variables, there is a 95 percent probability that the dependent variable will equal one. c. given the values for the explanatory variables, there is a 5 percent probability that the dependent variable will equal zero. d. given the values for the explanatory variables, it is unlikely that the dependent variable will equal zero. e. All of the above. f. None of the above.
Solution
The correct answer is e. All of the above.
Here's why:
a. In a probit model, a predicted probability value close to 1 (like 0.95) suggests that the most likely value for the dependent variable is 1.
b. The predicted probability value of 0.95 means that, given the values for the explanatory variables, there is a 95 percent probability that the dependent variable will equal one.
c. Conversely, this also means that there is a 5 percent probability that the dependent variable will equal zero.
d. Therefore, given the values for the explanatory variables, it is unlikely that the dependent variable will equal zero.
So, all the statements are correct.
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