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From a lot of 30 bulbs which include 6 defectives, a sample of 4 bulbs is drawn at random with replacement. Find the probability distribution of the number of defective bulbs.

Question

From a lot of 30 bulbs which include 6 defectives, a sample of 4 bulbs is drawn at random with replacement. Find the probability distribution of the number of defective bulbs.

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Solution

To find the probability distribution of the number of defective bulbs, we can use the concept of binomial distribution.

In this case, we have a lot of 30 bulbs, including 6 defectives. We are drawing a sample of 4 bulbs at random with replacement, which means that after each draw, the bulb is placed back into the lot before the next draw.

The probability of drawing a defective bulb in each individual draw is given by the ratio of the number of defective bulbs (6) to the total number of bulbs (30), which is 6/30 = 1/5.

Now, let's calculate the probability distribution for the number of defective bulbs in the sample:

  • Probability of drawing 0 defective bulbs: To calculate this probability, we need to find the probability of drawing a non-defective bulb in all 4 draws. The probability of drawing a non-defective bulb in one draw is 1 - 1/5 = 4/5. Since the draws are independent, we can multiply the probabilities together: P(X = 0) = (4/5)^4 ≈ 0.4096

  • Probability of drawing 1 defective bulb: To calculate this probability, we need to find the probability of drawing exactly 1 defective bulb in the 4 draws. This can happen in 4 different ways: DNNN, NDNN, NNDN, NNND, where D represents a defective bulb and N represents a non-defective bulb. The probability of each of these outcomes is (1/5) * (4/5)^3. Since there are 4 possible outcomes, we can multiply this probability by 4: P(X = 1) = 4 * (1/5) * (4/5)^3 ≈ 0.4096

  • Probability of drawing 2 defective bulbs: Similarly, we can calculate the probability of drawing exactly 2 defective bulbs in the 4 draws. This can happen in 6 different ways: DDNN, DNDN, DNND, NDDN, NDND, NNDN. The probability of each of these outcomes is (1/5)^2 * (4/5)^2. Since there are 6 possible outcomes, we can multiply this probability by 6: P(X = 2) = 6 * (1/5)^2 * (4/5)^2 ≈ 0.1536

  • Probability of drawing 3 defective bulbs: This can happen in 4 different ways: DDDN, DDND, DNDD, NDDD. The probability of each of these outcomes is (1/5)^3 * (4/5). Since there are 4 possible outcomes, we can multiply this probability by 4: P(X = 3) = 4 * (1/5)^3 * (4/5) ≈ 0.0512

  • Probability of drawing 4 defective bulbs: This can only happen in 1 way: DDDD. The probability of this outcome is (1/5)^4: P(X = 4) = (1/5)^4 ≈ 0.0016

Therefore, the probability distribution of the number of defective bulbs in the sample is as follows: P(X = 0) ≈ 0.4096 P(X = 1) ≈ 0.4096 P(X = 2) ≈ 0.1536 P(X = 3) ≈ 0.0512 P(X = 4) ≈ 0.0016

This problem has been solved

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