Suppose you’re playing a game using two dice. Upon throwing the two dice simultaneously, if their sum equals 4, then you get ₹1,000. If their sum is anything other than 4, you lose ₹100. What is the expected earning/loss in this game?Note:1. Round off your final answer to two decimal places. If your answer is 1.333333, write 1.33 in the box.2. If the expectation is a loss, make sure you write a negative number. For instance, −2.5 is a valid answer.
Question
Suppose you’re playing a game using two dice. Upon throwing the two dice simultaneously, if their sum equals 4, then you get ₹1,000. If their sum is anything other than 4, you lose ₹100. What is the expected earning/loss in this game?Note:1. Round off your final answer to two decimal places. If your answer is 1.333333, write 1.33 in the box.2. If the expectation is a loss, make sure you write a negative number. For instance, −2.5 is a valid answer.
Solution
To solve this problem, we first need to understand the possible outcomes when two dice are thrown. The sum can be anything from 2 (1 on each die) to 12 (6 on each die).
Next, we need to calculate the probability of getting a sum of 4. This can happen in three ways: 1+3, 2+2, or 3+1. Since there are 36 possible outcomes when two dice are thrown (6 outcomes on the first die multiplied by 6 outcomes on the second die), the probability of getting a sum of 4 is 3/36 = 1/12.
The probability of not getting a sum of 4 is therefore 1 - 1/12 = 11/12.
The expected earning from this game is calculated by multiplying the outcomes by their probabilities and adding them up. So, the expected earning is (₹1,000 * 1/12) - (₹100 * 11/12) = ₹83.33 - ₹91.67 = -₹8.34.
So, the expected loss in this game is ₹8.34.
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