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Question 1What does it mean when someone says that the stock's value at Risk is -20% with a confidence of 95%?1 point-20% is a return that is two deviations on the left from the mean-20% is a return that is three deviations on the left from the meanThere is 95% chance to lose 20% on that stock

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Question 1What does it mean when someone says that the stock's value at Risk is -20% with a confidence of 95%?1 point-20% is a return that is two deviations on the left from the mean-20% is a return that is three deviations on the left from the meanThere is 95% chance to lose 20% on that stock

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Solution

When someone says that a stock's Value at Risk (VaR) is -20% with a confidence of 95%, it means that there is a 5% chance that the stock will drop in value by 20% or more. This is a measure of the risk of potential financial loss.

The statement does not necessarily mean that -20% is a return that is two or three deviations to the left from the mean. VaR is not directly linked to standard deviations from the mean, but rather it is a statistical technique used to measure and quantify the level of financial risk within a firm or investment portfolio over a specific time frame.

So, the correct interpretation is: There is a 5% chance to lose 20% or more on that stock. This is based on past performance and does not guarantee future results.

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