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Assume that a sample is used to estimate a population proportion p. Find the margin of error M.E. that corresponds to a sample of size 359 with 273 successes at a confidence level of 99.5%.M.E. = %

Question

Assume that a sample is used to estimate a population proportion p. Find the margin of error M.E. that corresponds to a sample of size 359 with 273 successes at a confidence level of 99.5%.M.E. = %

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Solution

Sure, let's go through the steps to find the margin of error (M.E.) for the given sample.

  1. Calculate the sample proportion (p^\hat{p}): p^=number of successessample size=273359 \hat{p} = \frac{\text{number of successes}}{\text{sample size}} = \frac{273}{359} p^0.7604 \hat{p} \approx 0.7604

  2. Find the critical value (z) for a 99.5% confidence level:

    • The confidence level is 99.5%, so the significance level (α\alpha) is 10.995=0.0051 - 0.995 = 0.005.
    • Since the confidence level is two-tailed, we need to find the z-value that corresponds to α/2=0.0025\alpha/2 = 0.0025.
    • Using a standard normal distribution table or a calculator, the critical value zz for 99.5% confidence level is approximately 2.807.
  3. Calculate the standard error (SE) of the sample proportion: SE=p^(1p^)n=0.7604×(10.7604)359 SE = \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1 - \hat{p})}{n}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.7604 \times (1 - 0.7604)}{359}} SE0.7604×0.23963590.18213590.0005070.0225 SE \approx \sqrt{\frac{0.7604 \times 0.2396}{359}} \approx \sqrt{\frac{0.1821}{359}} \approx \sqrt{0.000507} \approx 0.0225

  4. Calculate the margin of error (M.E.): M.E.=z×SE=2.807×0.02250.0631 M.E. = z \times SE = 2.807 \times 0.0225 \approx 0.0631

  5. Convert the margin of error to a percentage: M.E.0.0631×1006.31% M.E. \approx 0.0631 \times 100 \approx 6.31\%

So, the margin of error (M.E.) that corresponds to a sample of size 359 with 273 successes at a confidence level of 99.5% is approximately 6.31%.

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