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lmost three-quarters of young Australians believe they will never be able to buy a home, as confidence in the housing market has flatlined over the past year despite house prices falling over the same period.An exclusive survey shows that a growing majority of people believe that the Australian dream is unreachable for the young and that state and federal governments need to launch radical interventions in the housing market to make home ownership affordable again.More Australians believe they have been priced out of ever owning a home.CREDIT:FAIRFAX MEDIAThe findings will heighten debate about how to solve the housing affordability crisis after Australians were hit by the largest fall in real wages on record this month and interest rates soared to a 10-year high.The new survey, conducted by Resolve Strategic for this masthead, shows 63 per cent of Australians now believe that the young will never be able to buy a home, compared to 57 per cent a year ago.The results are more stark when young people answer for themselves, with 72 per cent of respondents between the ages of 18 and 34 saying they will never be able to buy a house.This is despite prices for dwellings falling by 12.1 per cent in Sydney and 8.1 per cent in Melbourne last year, according to data firm CoreLogic.Grattan Institute economic program policy director Brendan Coates said most people were less confident about purchasing their first home because their capacity to borrow money had fallen by more than the decline in house prices.He said this was caused by the rise in the cash rate along with the government-regulated “serviceability buffer”. Banks have to assess people’s borrowing capacity at 3 per cent higher than the current borrowing rate.

Question

lmost three-quarters of young Australians believe they will never be able to buy a home, as confidence in the housing market has flatlined over the past year despite house prices falling over the same period.An exclusive survey shows that a growing majority of people believe that the Australian dream is unreachable for the young and that state and federal governments need to launch radical interventions in the housing market to make home ownership affordable again.More Australians believe they have been priced out of ever owning a home.CREDIT:FAIRFAX MEDIAThe findings will heighten debate about how to solve the housing affordability crisis after Australians were hit by the largest fall in real wages on record this month and interest rates soared to a 10-year high.The new survey, conducted by Resolve Strategic for this masthead, shows 63 per cent of Australians now believe that the young will never be able to buy a home, compared to 57 per cent a year ago.The results are more stark when young people answer for themselves, with 72 per cent of respondents between the ages of 18 and 34 saying they will never be able to buy a house.This is despite prices for dwellings falling by 12.1 per cent in Sydney and 8.1 per cent in Melbourne last year, according to data firm CoreLogic.Grattan Institute economic program policy director Brendan Coates said most people were less confident about purchasing their first home because their capacity to borrow money had fallen by more than the decline in house prices.He said this was caused by the rise in the cash rate along with the government-regulated “serviceability buffer”. Banks have to assess people’s borrowing capacity at 3 per cent higher than the current borrowing rate.

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Solution

Claro, aquí tienes una respuesta paso a paso:

  1. Contexto del Problema: La mayoría de los jóvenes australianos creen que nunca podrán comprar una casa. Esto se debe a la falta de confianza en el mercado inmobiliario, a pesar de que los precios de las viviendas han caído en el último año.

  2. Encuesta Exclusiva: Una encuesta exclusiva muestra que una mayoría creciente de personas cree que el sueño australiano es inalcanzable para los jóvenes. Además, consideran que los gobiernos estatales y federales deben intervenir radicalmente en el mercado inmobiliario para hacer que la propiedad de vivienda sea asequible nuevamente.

  3. Percepción General: Más australianos creen que han sido excluidos del mercado de la vivienda. Esto se ha intensificado con la caída más grande en los salarios reales registrada este mes y el aumento de las tasas de interés a un máximo de 10 años.

  4. Resultados de la Encuesta: La nueva encuesta, realizada por Resolve Strategic, muestra que el 63% de los australianos creen que los jóvenes nunca podrán comprar una casa, en comparación con el 57% del año pasado. Entre los jóvenes de 18 a 34 años, el 72% cree que nunca podrán comprar una casa.

  5. Caída de Precios de Viviendas: A pesar de la caída de los precios de las viviendas (12.1% en Sídney y 8.1% en Melbourne), la confianza en la capacidad de compra ha disminuido.

  6. Explicación de Brendan Coates: Brendan Coates, director de políticas del programa económico del Instituto Grattan, explica que la capacidad de las personas para pedir préstamos ha disminuido más que la caída en los precios de las viviendas. Esto se debe al aumento de la tasa de efectivo y al "buffer de servicio" regulado por el gobierno, que obliga a los bancos a evaluar la capacidad de endeudamiento de las personas a un 3% más alto que la tasa de endeudamiento actual.

En resumen, aunque los precios de las viviendas han caído, la capacidad de los jóvenes para comprar una casa se ha visto afectada negativamente por el aumento de las tasas de interés y las regulaciones bancarias.

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