Tian was sitting in his car in a parking lot. He accidentally honked the horn. After that, a large tree branch across the street fell down. Tian thinks, "It must have fallen because I honked." Tian's reasoning can be described as:Group of answer choicesmulti-correlationpost hoc ergo propter hocad infinitum causationprospect theoryforesight bias
Question
Tian was sitting in his car in a parking lot. He accidentally honked the horn. After that, a large tree branch across the street fell down. Tian thinks, "It must have fallen because I honked." Tian's reasoning can be described as:Group of answer choicesmulti-correlationpost hoc ergo propter hocad infinitum causationprospect theoryforesight bias
Solution
Tian's reasoning can be described as post hoc ergo propter hoc. This is a logical fallacy that states "Since event Y followed event X, event Y must have been caused by event X." In this case, Tian is assuming that because the tree branch fell after he honked his horn, the honking must have caused the branch to fall.
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