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Consider the phone handset market. Assume there are just two firms making phones – Apple and Samsung. The timing of the game is as follows. Apple first chooses whether to Launch a new phone or Wait. Observing this, Samsung then decides itself whether to Launch or Wait. The payoffs of the game are as follows. If Apple Launches, then Samsung also Launches, the returns are 12 each. If both firms Wait, the payoffs are 15 each. If Apple launches, then Samsung Waits the payoff is 30 to Apple and 20 to Samsung. If Apples Waits and Samsung then Launches the payoffs are 20 and 30 to Apple and Samsung, respectively. What is the outcome in the credible (subgame perfect) equilibrium?Group of answer choicesApple Waits, Samsung LaunchesBoth firms LaunchApple Wait, Samsung WaitsApple Launches, Samsung WaitsNone of the other answers are correct.

Question

Consider the phone handset market. Assume there are just two firms making phones – Apple and Samsung. The timing of the game is as follows. Apple first chooses whether to Launch a new phone or Wait. Observing this, Samsung then decides itself whether to Launch or Wait. The payoffs of the game are as follows. If Apple Launches, then Samsung also Launches, the returns are 12 each. If both firms Wait, the payoffs are 15 each. If Apple launches, then Samsung Waits the payoff is 30 to Apple and 20 to Samsung. If Apples Waits and Samsung then Launches the payoffs are 20 and 30 to Apple and Samsung, respectively. What is the outcome in the credible (subgame perfect) equilibrium?Group of answer choicesApple Waits, Samsung LaunchesBoth firms LaunchApple Wait, Samsung WaitsApple Launches, Samsung WaitsNone of the other answers are correct.

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Solution

The credible (subgame perfect) equilibrium in this scenario would be "Apple Launches, Samsung Waits".

Here's why:

  1. Apple has two choices: Launch or Wait. If Apple Launches, it can either get 12 (if Samsung also Launches) or 30 (if Samsung Waits). If Apple Waits, it can either get 15 (if Samsung also Waits) or 20 (if Samsung Launches). So, Apple's best strategy is to Launch because the worst outcome (12) is better than the worst outcome if it Waits (15), and the best outcome (30) is also better than the best outcome if it Waits (20).

  2. After observing Apple's decision, Samsung also has two choices: Launch or Wait. If Apple has Launched, Samsung can either get 12 (if it also Launches) or 20 (if it Waits). So, Samsung's best strategy is to Wait because 20 is better than 12.

Therefore, in the subgame perfect equilibrium, Apple Launches and Samsung Waits.

This problem has been solved

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