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An artist has 12 paintings to sell at the ArtiGras Fine Arts Festival in Jupiter, Florida. The artist picks 7 paintings to display on the first day. You randomly select 7 paintings. What is the probability you select the paintings in the same order the artist displays them on the first day? Write your answer as a fraction in simplest form.Probability:

Question

An artist has 12 paintings to sell at the ArtiGras Fine Arts Festival in Jupiter, Florida. The artist picks 7 paintings to display on the first day. You randomly select 7 paintings. What is the probability you select the paintings in the same order the artist displays them on the first day? Write your answer as a fraction in simplest form.Probability:

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Solution

To determine the probability that you select the 7 paintings in the same order the artist displays them on the first day, follow these steps:

  1. Calculate the total number of ways to select 7 paintings out of 12: The number of ways to choose 7 paintings from 12 is given by the combination formula (nk) \binom{n}{k} , where n n is the total number of items, and k k is the number of items to choose. This is calculated as: (127)=12!7!(127)!=12!7!5! \binom{12}{7} = \frac{12!}{7!(12-7)!} = \frac{12!}{7! \cdot 5!}

  2. Calculate the number of ways to arrange 7 paintings: The number of ways to arrange 7 paintings is given by the permutation formula P(n,k) P(n, k) , which is calculated as: P(7,7)=7! P(7, 7) = 7!

  3. Calculate the total number of ways to arrange 12 paintings: The total number of ways to arrange 12 paintings is given by the permutation formula P(n,n) P(n, n) , which is calculated as: P(12,12)=12! P(12, 12) = 12!

  4. Calculate the probability: The probability that you select the 7 paintings in the same order the artist displays them is the ratio of the number of favorable outcomes to the total number of possible outcomes. Since there is only one specific order that matches the artist's display, the probability is: Probability=1(127)7! \text{Probability} = \frac{1}{\binom{12}{7} \cdot 7!}

  5. Simplify the expression: Substitute the values calculated: (127)=12!7!5! \binom{12}{7} = \frac{12!}{7! \cdot 5!} So the probability becomes: Probability=112!7!5!7!=112!5! \text{Probability} = \frac{1}{\frac{12!}{7! \cdot 5!} \cdot 7!} = \frac{1}{\frac{12!}{5!}} Simplify further: Probability=5!12! \text{Probability} = \frac{5!}{12!}

  6. Calculate the factorials: 5!=120 5! = 120 12!=479,001,600 12! = 479,001,600

  7. Final probability: Probability=120479,001,600=13,991,680 \text{Probability} = \frac{120}{479,001,600} = \frac{1}{3,991,680}

Thus, the probability that you select the paintings in the same order the artist displays them on the first day is 13,991,680 \frac{1}{3,991,680} .

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