Historically, about 59% of the population of a certain country believed that the planet’s temperaturewas rising. A March 2010 poll wanted to determine whether this proportion had changed. The pollinterviewed 954 adults in the population, and 598 said they believed that global warming was real.Assume these 954 adults represented a simple random sample. State hypotheses. Report statistic,test-statistic, and p-value. At the 5% significance level, state your conclusion about the original claim.Round all values to the nearest thousandth
Question
Historically, about 59% of the population of a certain country believed that the planet’s temperaturewas rising. A March 2010 poll wanted to determine whether this proportion had changed. The pollinterviewed 954 adults in the population, and 598 said they believed that global warming was real.Assume these 954 adults represented a simple random sample. State hypotheses. Report statistic,test-statistic, and p-value. At the 5% significance level, state your conclusion about the original claim.Round all values to the nearest thousandth
Solution
Sure, let's go through the steps to address the question.
-
State the hypotheses:
- Null hypothesis (): The proportion of the population that believes the planet's temperature is rising has not changed.
- Alternative hypothesis (): The proportion of the population that believes the planet's temperature is rising has changed.
-
Report the statistic:
- Sample proportion ():
-
Calculate the test statistic:
- The test statistic for a proportion is calculated using the formula: where is the population proportion under the null hypothesis, and is the sample size.
- Substituting the values:
-
Find the p-value:
- Since this is a two-tailed test, we need to find the probability that is greater than 2.327 or less than -2.327.
- Using standard normal distribution tables or a calculator, the p-value for is approximately 0.020.
- Since it is a two-tailed test, we multiply this by 2: .
-
State the conclusion:
- At the 5% significance level (), we compare the p-value to .
- Since is less than 0.05, we reject the null hypothesis.
Conclusion: There is sufficient evidence at the 5% significance level to conclude that the proportion of the population that believes the planet's temperature is rising has changed from the historical proportion of 59%.
Similar Questions
Time magazine reported the result of a telephone poll of 800 adult Americans. The question posed of the Americans who were surveyed was: "Should the federal tax on cigarettes be raised to pay for health care reform?" The question to be investigated: Is there sufficient evidence at the 𝛼=0.05, say, to conclude that the two populations — smokers and non-smokers — differ significantly with respect to their opinions?The test statistic for this hypothesis test is z = 2.18 with p-value 0.0292.What is the correct conclusion?
Evaluate the statement:The effects of global warming are more pronounced in summer. True False
Learn By DoingThe following two hypotheses are tested:Ho: The proportion of U.S. adults who oppose gay marriage is roughly 50%.Ha: The proportion of U.S. adults who oppose gay marriage is above 50% (i.e., the majority oppose).Suppose a survey was conducted in which a random sample of 1,100 U.S. adults was asked about their opinions about gay marriage, and based on the data, the p-value was found to be .002.Comment: Throughout this activity use a .05 (5%) significance level (cutoff).The fact that the p-value = .002 means that:There is .002 probability of observing data like those observed.There is .002 probability that 50% of U.S. adults oppose gay marriage.There is a probability of .002 (i.e., very unlikely) to observe data like those observed if the proportion of U.S. adults who oppose gay marriage were 50%.There is .998 probability that the majority of U.S. adults oppose gay marriage.Reset this ActivityBased on the p-value you can conclude that:the data provide significant evidence that the proportion of U.S. adults who oppose gay marriage is 50%.the data provide significant evidence that the majority of U.S. adults oppose gay marriage.the data do not provide enough evidence to conclude that the majority of U.S. adults oppose gay marriage.the data provide evidence that Ha is more likely than Ho (i.e., it is more likely that the majority of U.S. adults oppose gay marriage).Reset this ActivitySay that the p-value was not given, but rather, the following conclusion was advertised: "The survey does not provide enough evidence to conclude that the majority of U.S. adults oppose gay marriage." Which of the following could have been the p-value that led to this conclusion?.1251.96.045-1.96Reset this ActivityWhen would you conclude that the data provide enough evidence that the proportion of U.S. adults who oppose gay marriage is 50%?when the p-value is small (less than .05)when the p-value is not small (above .05)when exactly half the individuals in the sample oppose gay marriage and half support itnever
Suppose that a major polling organization wanted to test the hypothesis that there was a change in the president’s “approval rating” since last month. Last month, 35% of the representative sample of registered voters approved of the president. For this month, the null hypothesis was that the approval rating equals 35% and the alternative hypothesis is that the approval rating does not equal 35%. The significance level for this test was 0.05.The results of the hypothesis test of the new survey showed a p-value of 0.008.Which of the following statements is correct? Check all that apply. The results were statistically significant. The results were not statistically significant. The null hypothesis should be rejected. The null hypothesis should be accepted. The null hypothesis cannot be rejected.
In 2001, the polls found that 81% of American adults believed that there was a conspiracy in the death of President Kennedy. Assume a recent poll asked 1740 American adults if they believe there was a conspiracy in the assassination and it found that 1374 believe there was a conspiracy. Does the data show that the proportion of Americans who believe in this conspiracy is now lower? Test at the 5% level.P: PARAMETER What is the correct parameter symbol for this problem? What is the wording of the parameter in the context of this problem? H: HYPOTHESES Fill in the correct null and alternative hypotheses: 𝐻0: 𝐻𝐴: A: ASSUMPTIONS Since information was collected from each object, what conditions do we need to check? Check all that apply. 𝑛(𝑝̂)≥10𝑁≥20𝑛𝑛𝑝≥10𝑛(1-𝑝)≥10𝑛(1-𝑝̂)≥10σσ is known.𝑛≥30 or normal population.σσ is unknown. Check those assumptions: 1. 𝑛𝑝 = which is 2. 𝑛(1-𝑝) = which is 3. 𝑁 = which is If no N is given in the problem, use 1000000N: NAME THE PROCEDURE The conditions are met to use a .T: TEST STATISTIC The symbol and value of the random variable on this problem are as follows: Leave this answer as a fraction. = The formula set up of the test statistic is as follows.: (Leave any values that were given as fractions as fractions) 𝑧=𝑝̂-𝑝𝑝(1-𝑝)𝑛=( - )/(( ⋅(1- )) / ) Final answer for the test statistic from technology. Round to 2 decimal places: z = O: OBTAIN THE P-VALUE Report to 4 decimal places. It is possible when rounded that a p-value is 0.0000 P-value = M: MAKE A DECISION Since the p-value , we .S: STATE A CONCLUSION There significant evidence to conclude
Upgrade your grade with Knowee
Get personalized homework help. Review tough concepts in more detail, or go deeper into your topic by exploring other relevant questions.